Two weeks before the midterm elections, President Donald Trump is seeing low approval ratings across 41 states and major battleground areas. This data comes from Civiqs’ rolling tracker of registered voters, based on 137,330 responses from January 20, 2025, to October 19, 2026. A Newsweek analysis reviewed these ratings against those from the start of Trump’s second term, using net approval as approval minus disapproval.
Current Approval Ratings
Nationally, 32 percent of voters approve of Trump’s performance, while 61 percent disapprove, resulting in a net approval of minus 29. Only nine states record a positive net approval for Trump. Major battleground states like Michigan (-28), Georgia (-26), and Nevada (-24) show significant disapproval.
Kentucky, for instance, saw a dramatic decline from +23 to -13 since January 2025. Six states crucial for Senate control also show negative net approval. Wyoming shows the strongest support for Trump at +14, with North Dakota following at +11.
Demographics of Approval
Younger voters, independents, and postgraduates oppose Trump strongly. Among voters aged 18 to 34, 72 percent disapprove, leaving a 52-point gap against his favor. For those aged 35 to 49, the gap is 41 points.
Older voters are less negative, with 40 percent approval among those aged 50 to 64 and 42 percent among those 65 and older. Yet, Trump remains underwater across age groups.
Independents disapprove by 66 percent compared to 25 percent approval. Within Republican ranks, 75 percent approve versus 13 percent disapproval. Female voters disapprove at 66 percent, while male disapproval is 55 percent.
Education levels show a stark divide, with 20 percent approval among postgraduates, 31 percent among college graduates, and 36 percent among non-college graduates.
Battleground State Challenges
Trump struggles in battleground states just before the midterms, with ratings like:
- Arizona: -20
- Florida: -17
- Georgia: -26
- Michigan: -28
- Nevada: -24
- North Carolina: -17
- Ohio: -21
- Pennsylvania: -23
- Wisconsin: -23
High-profile states once favorable, such as Ohio and Florida, now show declines of 29 and 26 points, respectively.
Senate Race Impact
Trump is negatively rated in six states with pivotal Senate races, including Maine (-33), Michigan (-28), and Ohio (-21). These contests remain central to efforts to maintain Republican control in competitive environments.
State-Specific Declines
Trump’s net approval fell in each state. Notable declines include:
- Kentucky: +23 to -13, a 36-point drop
- Wyoming: +47 to +14, falling 33 points
- Idaho: +34 to +4, decreasing by 30 points
- Oklahoma: +31 to +1, down 30 points
- Ohio: +8 to -21, a 29-point fall
Many declines occurred in initially supportive states rather than those traditionally opposing Trump.
Opposition in Democratic States
Trump’s lowest ratings persist in Democratic-leaning areas. Hawaii reports a net approval of -61, followed by Maryland (-54) and Vermont (-53). In these states, resistance to Trump was initially high, resulting in less dramatic declines.
White House Perspective
The White House emphasizes Trump as a key Republican figure, asserting his leadership and policy success in areas like tax cuts and energy production. Spokesperson Davis Ingle called Trump the GOP’s “unequivocal leader,” urging voters to support the president’s agenda over opposing Democratic policies.
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