Texas Senate Race Sees New Dynamics Along U.S.-Mexico Border

EAGLE PASS, Texas (AP) — The ‘Talarico for Texas’ campaign bus halted at Memo’s Restaurant near the U.S.-Mexico border. Bibi Valdez approached eagerly, filming the scene. She spoke of the local political shift two years ago, particularly among Hispanics turning Republican.

James Talarico, a Democratic U.S. Senate candidate, aims to break a nearly three-decade Democratic drought in Texas statewide elections. He toured the border seeking support in Hispanic counties that became politically intriguing after the 2024 election. Historically Democratic, several of these areas backed Republican Donald Trump, marking a significant shift.

Two core issues drive this change: increased border crossings and rising living costs. Although border crossings have declined since 2024, living expenses remain high. Talarico highlights these topics as he campaigns against Republican Ken Paxton, the Texas attorney general.

The outcome of Talarico’s attempts to reconnect with Hispanic voters who moved toward the GOP could influence not only this Senate race but also Democratic control of the Senate. Talarico, once a middle school teacher and state legislator, mingled outside Memo’s Restaurant, seizing photo opportunities with attendees who filled the venue.

Inside, Talarico addressed the crowd in the packed restaurant. He chastised politicians who exploit border issues for political gain, instead showcasing the positive aspects of border communities.

He expressed concerns over an economy benefiting wealthy ‘mega donors,’ accusing Paxton of serving these elite interests. According to Talarico, the system disadvantages hard-working individuals, preventing them from advancing regardless of effort and savings.

While previous Democratic candidates like Beto O’Rourke have rallied Texans with similar messages, they didn’t secure wins in this Republican stronghold. Yet Democrats find some hope; AP-NORC polls indicate Trump’s support among Hispanics fell from 41% at his second term’s onset to 29%.

For border communities near the Rio Grande, migration issues are vividly real. Memories linger of crowded migrant scenes, while little assistance, some say, arrived from President Joe Biden’s administration.

Local residents, like Hector Flores and his friends, notice decreased migrant presence but still face hefty costs. Maverick County shifted dramatically towards Trump in 2024, but the Senate race remains a backburner issue. Everyday concerns like inflation keep residents engaged.

Divergent political stances emerge in such conversations. While Flores remains Republican, Riojas supports Talarico, criticizing Trump’s unpredictability. Flores appreciates ICE operations, while Garcia worries about the implications of such policies amidst Paxton’s controversial background.

Paxton, meanwhile, leans on immigration enforcement’s fiery rhetoric. During his Rio Grande Valley visit, he showcased legal battles with Biden, aligned with Border Patrol endorsements, and criticized Talarico’s religious views.

Amidst these dynamics, Talarico acknowledges disillusionment in border communities, highlighting unmet Republican promises despite his efforts to address immigration and economic challenges. However, the coming election could hinge on how these realities resonate with voters.