The Current Standing of Last-Place MLB Teams and Their Likelihood to Trade Key Players

As Major League Baseball approaches summer and the trade deadline looms, several last-place teams in their respective divisions find themselves contemplating trades. Evaluating the possibility of these teams parting with star players reveals their strategic plans for the season.

Boston Red Sox: Aroldis Chapman (95% Likelihood)

The Boston Red Sox may consider trading Aroldis Chapman, currently one of their standout players. While players like Garret Crotchet and Roman Anthony are seen as future assets, Chapman appears to be on the trading block unless circumstances change significantly. Last year, the Athletics secured a substantial return for Mason Miller. Although Chapman’s age may diminish the potential package, the Red Sox could still acquire top prospects in return.

Detroit Tigers: Tarik Skubal (99% Likelihood)

The Detroit Tigers face a challenging decision with Tarik Skubal. There’s a slim chance they could retain him if they surge in early summer and re-enter contention. However, given their current standing, it seems inevitable they’ll trade the back-to-back Cy Young winner, who is approaching a major contract negotiation. Detroit could learn from the Los Angeles Angels’ past decision to hold onto Shohei Ohtani before he left for free agency, which resulted in long-term setbacks.

Los Angeles Angels: Mike Trout (40% Likelihood)

The Los Angeles Angels’ struggles persist, and Mike Trout’s potential departure is under consideration. Despite Trout’s no-trade clause complicating a possible move, there’s still a scenario where he could be traded. Yet, his attachment to Southern California implies that he might continue his career with the Angels.

New York Mets: Freddy Peralta (80% Likelihood)

The New York Mets are another team likely to engage in trades, with Freddy Peralta being a probable candidate. While Juan Soto remains untouchable, Peralta could be traded before facing a significant contract renewal. The Mets’ organization may not support such a large financial commitment to pitchers under their current management philosophy.

Pittsburgh Pirates: Paul Skenes (1% Likelihood)

The Pittsburgh Pirates stand out as the only last-place team still within playoff reach. Given their promising season, the likelihood of trading key player Paul Skenes is minimal. Unless a drastic move akin to a sudden shift occurs, Skenes is expected to remain with the team.

Colorado Rockies: Hunter Goodman (20% Likelihood)

Hunter Goodman represents a bright spot for the Colorado Rockies, offering stability behind the plate. Despite not being a star, his role as a potential future leader makes a trade unlikely. Colorado is unlikely to receive an offer compelling enough to part with Goodman, an essential figure in their rebuilding efforts.