Winter 2026-2027 Forecast: What to Expect

Winter is approaching, and while it’s early in the fall, predictions for the 2026-2027 season are already circulating. The Old Farmer’s Almanac and Farmers’ Almanac have both released their forecasts, highlighting different possibilities.

Almanac Predictions

The Farmers’ Almanac anticipates a mix of snow, sleet, and unexpected weather. The Old Farmer’s Almanac suggests a milder winter, with colder and snowier areas specifically identified. According to the Farmers’ Almanac, the U.S. will see variable precipitation patterns. The Upper Plains and Midwest may experience snow, while the Gulf and southern East Coast are likely to face wet conditions. The South might encounter coastal storms, especially around New England.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac forecasts mild weather for most regions. Notably, the Ohio Valley and southern New England might have a cold winter. Hawaii is expected to be cool, with the Plains staying mostly dry. The Pacific Coast, Gulf regions, and Midwest are projected to receive more rainfall.

Forecast Accuracy and Criticism

Historically, the Farmers’ Almanac claims around 80% accuracy, though research indicates that only about half of its forecasts are correct. Meteorologist Rich Segal emphasizes the unpredictability of weather predictions, noting the variability that can occur within 24 hours.

The National Weather Service Outlook

The National Weather Service (NWS) also provides long-range outlooks which are subject to change. Unlike the almanacs, the NWS doesn’t predict specific winter events. Jon Gottschalck from NOAA mentions the difficulty in making such detailed predictions.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center recently updated its seasonal forecasts, suggesting warmer-than-normal temperatures due to a strong El Niño. Many southern states may experience above-average precipitation from October through December. These trends are expected to continue into 2027.

Impact of El Niño

An El Niño pattern affecting the weather may persist into spring 2027. This phenomenon typically results in drier, warmer conditions for northern states, while southern regions could see cooler, wetter weather. Nexstar’s Brian James noted that while colder air and some snowfall may occur in northern regions, extensive snow is unlikely due to the overall pattern.

Trusting Forecasts

Ultimately, the decision to trust almanac predictions lies with the readers, as no forecast is infallible. Sandi Duncan, editor of the Farmers’ Almanac, acknowledges the challenges in forecasting but emphasizes the practical applications of their predictions.