Republican Discontent with Trump’s Economic Policies Reaches New High

A recent poll by AP/NORC indicates that dissatisfaction among Republicans regarding President Donald Trump’s economic management has hit 37 percent. This growing discontent presents challenges for the GOP as the 2026 midterm elections approach. Despite Trump’s emphasis on economic strength and inflation reduction in his 2024 campaign, economic difficulties and high living costs persist more than a year into his presidency.

High gasoline prices, intensified by the ongoing conflict with Iran, have burdened many Americans. On Wednesday, AAA reported the national average for gas at $4.555 per gallon.

The economy has shown resilience under President Trump, with expectations of improved healthcare and affordable housing initiatives in his second term, according to White House spokesperson Kush Desai.

Survey data reveals that 30 percent of Republicans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the Iran conflict. The survey, conducted from May 14 to May 18, 2026, involved 1,117 adults and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

Overall approval for Trump’s economic management is low, with only 33 percent of Americans expressing satisfaction, while 67 percent disapprove. Although republican economic disapproval is rising, Trump’s overall approval improved slightly from April, with 37 percent of respondents approving of his job performance as opposed to 33 percent in April. This is still a drop from May 2025, where 41 percent expressed approval.

Trump’s Influence in GOP Remains Strong

Despite declining national approval, Trump remains influential within his party. Primary results show his enduring control; for example, Ed Gallrein, endorsed by Trump, replaced Representative Thomas Massie in Kentucky, while Trump’s support boosted Julia Letlow and John Fleming in Louisiana Senate primaries.

Comparisons with Other Polls

Other polls reflect similar trends. A Reuters/Ipsos poll from May 15-18 indicated a 35 percent approval rate for Trump, while Echelon Insights showed 40 percent. The New York Times/Siena College reported 37 percent approval. These trends suggest Trump’s varying popularity across different regions and demographics.

Impact of Approval Ratings on Midterms

The president’s popularity is crucial in midterm elections, which often reflect public opinion on the incumbent. Historically, the ruling party loses congressional seats in midterms. In 2018, Democrats gained 41 seats during Trump’s presidency, while Republicans captured nine seats in Biden’s 2022 term.

Prediction markets indicate Democrats have a strong chance of gaining control of the House, while Republicans are slightly favored to keep the Senate.

Gas Prices: Key Election Issue

Americans are contending with soaring gas prices due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid the war with Iran. This narrow waterway is vital for global oil supply, with around 20 million barrels of oil passing daily.

Fuel costs have significantly increased, reaching $4.555 per gallon, up from $3.177 a year ago. California reports the highest prices at $6.145 per gallon.

House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries has criticized the Republicans for the situation, blaming them for the costly war with Iran.

There is hope that resolving the conflict with Tehran could stabilize the oil market, although relief might not be immediate. President Trump has implied that a resolution could be swift but has given conflicting statements on the conflict’s future.

Meanwhile, Congress is addressing fuel prices. The House recently passed legislation to allow year-round sales of E15 gasoline, an ethanol blend. E15 is generally cheaper, and its availability could help lower expenses for consumers.