Over the last decade, the perception of President Trump’s support has been described as having a low ceiling but a high floor. The latest New York Times/Siena poll puts this theory to the test.
In the survey, only 37 percent of Americans approve of Trump’s performance as president. This marks a four percentage point drop from the last Times/Siena poll in January, representing his lowest approval rating in any Times/Siena survey across both terms.
Such a decline may not seem substantial, but it places Trump in uncharted political territory. According to our averages, no president has maintained an approval rating below 38 percent for an extended period in the last 17 years. Trump’s current ratings suggest he may have reached the floor during this partisan political era.
The poll shows potential threats to Trump’s approval ratings, with only 28 percent of voters approving of his handling of the cost of living and 31 percent approving of his handling of the war. Additionally, just 30 percent say he made the right decision in choosing to attack Iran.
The immediate political impact appears in favor of the Democrats, who now show a double-digit lead, 50 percent to 39 percent, when registered voters are questioned about their support for congressional candidates. This is a notable shift from earlier polls this cycle, which showed Democrats up by two to five points.

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